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30 Oct, 2015 (Friday)

            
UNI MEDICAL(2666)
Analysis:
Universal Medical Financial & Technical Advisory Services Company (2666) is the largest integrated healthcare services provider in China. It offers its hospital customers a variety of integrated healthcare services, including equipment financing, financing advisory services and clinical department upgrade services. According to its operation summary for the third quarter of 2015, the business of the Group maintained steady growth, with both revenue and profit before tax increasing by more than 40% compared with the same period of 2014; the net interest margin and the net interest spread were improved as compared to the first half this year; non-performing assets ratio decreased slightly as compared to the end of 2014 and provision coverage ratio remained at steady level. (I do not hold the above stock)
Strategy:
Buy-in Price: $6.00, Target Price: $6.60, Cut Loss Price: $5.60

TRIGIANT(1300)
Analysis:
In 2015, 1.3 million 4G base stations will be built, which is 30% more than even the most optimistic expectations made previously, and even doubles the actual quantity in 2014. As a result, 4G construction will accelerate its contributions to the upstream manufacturer such as Trigiant Group. At the end of 2014, by issuing 200 million consideration shares, the company acquired the equity of Trigiant Photoelectricity. After the acquisition, the company holds 65% of its equity, with the business merging recorded. The newly-acquired optic fiber business will not only expand Trigiant's product line and alleviate the growth difficulty caused by the low copper price seen in the past 2 years, but also will bring evident result growth for the company. It is now traded only around 4X P/E, which shows an attractive valuation.
Strategy:
Buy-in Price: $1.65, Target Price: $2.00, Cut Loss Price: $1.56


Report Review of October. 2015

Sectors:

Mainland financial, Utilities (Xingyu Chen), Mainland Telecom (Fanguohe),Mainland property, Oil and gas service (Chengeng), Air, Automobiles, Infrastructure (ZhangJing), New energy & Environmental Goods (Zhang Kun)

Mainland Financial (Xingyu Chen)

In Oct, HSI rebounded obviously after the national holiday, from 21,500 at the beginning of this month to 23,000 currently, up 7% approximately. According to the performance, the banks` share prices were better than the market, and most of banks` share prices started to be increase after the large adjustment, up 10% on average.

We believe the banks` operating performance faces many challenges in 3Q, the banks` profit growth slows down, and the asset quality continues to deteriorate, however, considering the large decrease of the banks` valuation currently, and meanwhile, the Chinese government makes the active fiscal and monetary policies, the demand of banks` loans is large in future, and the foundation of the income growth is also strong, therefore we still hold the cautiously optimistic view on the banks` prices in future. Maintain the banking sector on Buy rating.

Mainland Telecom (Fan guohe)

This month I released 3 equity reports including, Chinasoft International (0354.HK), NetDragon(0777.HK) and Tongda Group(0698.HK). We prefer Chinasoft International with the more attractive future. The Company has acquired 40% equity of Chinasoft International Service owned by Huawei, and Huawei has become a strategic shareholder of the Company, but no longer an ordinary business partner, after the issuance of new shares. The strategic operation between Huawei and the Company is expected to be consolidated and enhanced. In the future, more of the outsourcing services of Huawei would be allocated to Chinasoft. Moreover, the cooperation field will develop into new services including cloud computing, big data, industry 4.0 etc. What's more, Joint Force platform transforms human resources, from a management system to interest relations: IT operators, teams and enterprises gain income based on the jobs acquired. The Company then collects fixed commission in the due course. With the Company's business gradually transiting to the Joint Force platform, the overall cost of human resources would become stable. The business of the platform can enhance the gross profit margin, and boost up the profitability of the Company. In addition, the platform would also serve long tail markets of small-scaled IT projects, and accumulate data for systems, and then access the exchange volume, credit and cash flow etc of new enterprises and micro enterprises. Big data analysis could help lower the credit risk. The Company would plan to provide capital in the future, for provision of high-quality supply chain financial services to small and micro enterprise, nurturing new momentum for profit growth.

Mainland Property & Oil/Gas service (Chen geng)

In October, 2015, I wrote four research reports on CWTC, CSCI, Country Garden and GEG, which got success by unique operation model. We recommend “CSCI”. The organic growth of CSCI will benefit from a strong growth in new orders and stable operation. Besides, the PPP model and asset injections from the parent company will lead to a new operating model, better asset quality and an increase in asset size. The company has upgraded the full-year new contract values by HKD2 billion to HKD70 billion, indicating that the main business of the company is still seeing a solid growth trend. Short-term impacts from the “lead-contaminated water” issue and the devaluation of RMB will be limited. We expect the profit growth of CSCI can be maintained at 20% per annum for the next two years and its net gearing ratio will continue to be lower than 40%. We maintain our “BUY” rating on CSCI, with a 12-month target price of HKD15.8, which is equivalent to prospective 2015/2016 PE ratios of 14.7x and 12.6x.

Automobile & Air (ZhangJing)

This month I released 4 equity reports including Geely (175 HK), GAC (2238 HK), Caeri (601965 CH), and Dongfeng (489 HK). We prefer the Geely. In 2015H1, Geely recorded growth in revenue of 36% to RMB13.8 billion; while net profit grew 26% yoy to RMB1.4 billion. The higher rate of growth reflected the trend of sale turnover recovery and it may also related to lower comparison benchmark last year. Business result in 2015H1 was similar to the year before last year. Operation efficiency has been improved. The gross profit margin dropped 2.7 ppts yoy, to 17.6%. Benefitted from the launch of higher-priced vehicles, the average unit price in H1 increased 10%. The Company has promised to introduce 5 new vehicle models in the coming 12 months, including two models of SUVs, one cross section vehicle and new energy vehicle. We think the competitiveness of the Company's vehicles has apparently improved, and the Company has been fully equipped in the aspect of new energy, therefore we are optimistic on the expansion of the Company's market share in the future.

New energy & Environmental protection (ZhangKun)

We update four reports in this month, they are Singyes Solar (750.HK), Grandblue ENV (600323.SH), Kangda ENV (6136.HK) and Dynagreen ENV (1330.HK). We recommend Singyes Solar. Since 2015, the share price of the company has dropped significantly, which has mainly reflected over pessimism of the market towards the company's curtain wall business as well as issues related to the solar EPC industry, such as a possible increase in grid curtailment and uncertainties over subsidy of solar energy. We have downgraded our target price to HKD8, which is equivalent to a prospective 2016 P/E ratio of 8x. We recommend a “BUY” rating.

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Phillip Research - Hong Kong 輝立研究部 – 香港及中國
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland Financial Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Report Review of October. 201530/10/20150.000
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China60131827/10/2015Buy6533.73
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
Dongfeng48928/10/2015Accumulate12.5911.2
CAERI60196520/10/2015BUY11.49.12
Mainland Property Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Country Garden200722/10/2015Accumulate3.53.04
China State Construction International331114/10/2015Buy 15.811.48
Insurance Xingyu Chen (86) 2151699400-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Properties  
LESSO212823/09/2015Buy7.96.02
FORTUNE REIT77814/10/2014Accumulate7.326.92
Local Financials Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
HSBC509/08/2013Accumulate100.484.25
HSBC Holdings PLC000509/05/2013Accumulate9587.7
Health & Personal Care Fan Guohe  (+ 86 21 51699400-110)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
Yibai Pharmaceutical60059429/09/2015Buy21.5515.9
Tasly Pharmaceutical Group60053525/08/2015Buy 53.0838.73
Hotels and Entertainment Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Galaxy Entertainment2729/10/2015Buy3526.8
Galaxy Entertainment2708/07/2015Buy4233.55
New Energy  
Dynagreen Env133026/10/2015BUY5.444.51
Kangda Env613619/10/2015BUY 4.052.63
Food, Beverage and Retail  
China Tianyi Holdings75616/10/2015Buy 20.97
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group60088721/07/2015BUY26.418.99
Telecommunications  
Tongda Group69823/10/2015Buy1.91.58
NetDragon Websoft77715/10/2015Buy26.0420.85
Oil and Gas Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
TSC GROUP20628/07/2015Buy2.82.11
SPT Energy125124/02/2015Reduce1.51.74
Software & Service  
Goldpac Group331518/02/2015N/A4.77
KINGDEE INT`L26802/12/2014Accumulate2.752.45

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the “Group”) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products’ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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