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18 Oct, 2017 (Wednesday)

            
XIWANG STEEL(1266)
Analysis:
Xiwang Special Steel Company (1266) has issued a positive profit alert in respect of the third quarter of 2017. The consolidated profit attributable to shareholders for the nine months ended 30 September 2017 is expected to increase by more than 140% as compared with that for the nine months ended 30 September 2016. The Group will strive to increase the proportion of special steel business and push forward the rail steel products by introducing rail steel products with a high level of strength, tenacity and durability to the market. The new production line, which has a rail steel capacity of 700,000 tonnes, a railway billet capacity of 150,000 tonnes and a figured steel capacity of 150,000 tonnes per annum, will be developed in two phases that are expected to be completed in 2018 and 2019 respectively. (I do not hold the above stock)
Strategy:
Buy-in Price: $1.55, Target Price: $1.75, Cut Loss Price: $1.45

BJ ENT WATER(371)
Analysis:
Beijing Enterprises Water Group affiliates to the state-owned enterprise Beijing Enterprises Group Company Limited. The Company`s main business included water treatment services (sewage treatment + water supply), water environment governance and construction (comprehensive governance + BOT water services) and technical services. As at the end of 2016, the Company had 452 water plants, covering 25 provinces/autonomous regions/ municipalities directly under the Central Government in China and parts of overseas regions. Its total design capacity reaches 27,168,000 tons/day and the water handling capacity reaches 16.48 million tons/day. The scale ranks the top in China stably. The Company will maintain rapid development with the benefit from the release of PPP performance and the promotion of industry concentration. Furthermore, the widespread use of the light asset model of the PPP+ industry fund is expected to be a catalyst for boosting the Company`s share price.
Strategy:
Buy-in Price: $6.37, Target Price: $7.68, Cut Loss Price: $5.90


KANGDA ENV (6136. HK) - Secure Growth in the Year and Valuation Is to Be Restored

Summary of Investment

-Rapid growth in the scale of new sewage treatment;

-Multiple new PPP projects in the second half of the year, increasing reserves of projects;

-A valuation much lower than fellow companies, an adequate margin of safety;

Investment Advice

The share price of the company has been fully adjusted in the first half of the year. With the rapid growth of construction income in the second half of the year, it is expected to achieve the 30% growth in result for the whole year. The share price has the possibility of growth. We predict the net profit attributable to parent company from 2017 to 2018 to be RMB 453/570million. The rating of "buy" is given. The target price is HKD2.87. (Closing price as at 16 Oct 2017)

Solid growth of result in the first half of the year: In the first half of 2017, Kangda International Environmental Company Limited has reported a revenue of RMB10.68 billion, a year-on year increase of 18.33%, including the construction income of RMB550 million (+26.9%) (RMB409 million construction income of development of water affairs in urban area, RMB108 million construction income water environment treatment, RMB34 million construction income of rural sewage treatment), the operating income of RMB298 million (+13.3%), the financial income of RMB220 million (+7%). Besides, the net profit attributable to shareholders of parent company amounted to RMB177 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 56.6%, and the basic EPS stood at RMB0.0854 (+56.4%). Profit growth substantially exceeded revenue growth, mainly due to the acquisition of the 15% of the assets of Zhongyuan Asset with a profit of RMB0.37 billion.

The intensive market competition has a negative impact on the gross profit margin: With regard to profitability, the gross profit margin decreased by 2% to 40% over last year, which mainly resulted from the decrease of gross profit margin of construction income with a high proportion in total income and the decrease of the proportion of financial income. During the year, the period cost rate was on the high side compared to fellow companies, rising by 1% to 27.82% over last year. The net profit margin was 17.16%, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%.

The scale of sewage treatment has increased dramatically: With regard to the treatment of urban sewage treatment, the company endeavored to expand its processing scale through market exploitation and merger and acquisition. In the year, the company has successively acquired about 1.09% share rights of Prodaksen (Asia) Water Service CO., Ltd. and 100% share rights of Hatlen Investment (Aus.) Pty Ltd., 100% share rights of Shandong Fengmin Water Service CO., Ltd. and 70% share rights of Wenzhou Chuangyuan Water Service CO., Ltd. As of September 30, the company has contracted for sewage projects with the daily processing scale of 4.109 million tons per day, a year-on-year increase of 40.8%, operation projects with the daily processing scale of2.984 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 29.2%, projects under construction with the daily processing scale of775 thousand tons, a year-on-year increase of 167.2%, and projects to be operated with the daily processing scale of 350 thousand tons (+9.4%). The rapid growth of the expected new processing scale will provide a guarantee for the continued growth of the income of urban water operations and construction.

The company expedited the progress of project acquisition, the reserve of projects will increase: In 2017, especially in the second half of the year, the company has contracted for multiple PPP projects including the PPP project of the construction of integrated pipe corridor in Weihai Nanhai Area, Shandong, the construction of sewage treatment bound with PPP projects in Jiaoling County, Meizhou City, Guangdong, the first phase of PPP project of Fuhe river construction in Fuzhou City, Jiangxi, and the first and second phase of sanitary sewage treatment PPP project in Maan Town, Huizhou, Guangdong. The total investment is nearly RMB5 billion. With the intensive construction of new PPP projects in the second half of the year, the construction income in the second half of the year is expected to exceed that of the first half of the year, and the annual construction income is expected to achieve considerable growth.

Risk Warnings

The number of new contracts is less than expected;

PPP construction is slower than expected;

Financials

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Recommendation on 18-10-2017
RecommendationBuy
Price on Recommendation Date$ 1.990
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 2.870
Writer Info
Wang Yannan
(Research Analyst)
Tel: 86 21 51699400-107
Email:
wangyannan@phillip.com.cn

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Phillip Research - Hong Kong 輝立研究部 – 香港及中國
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Information Techology Research Department N/A+852 2277 6527research@phillip.com.hk
Karrie International105015/09/2017No Rating1.24
Goldpac Group331527/03/2017Buy32.4
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
Yutong60006613/10/2017Accumulate2924.85
Yutong60006612/10/2017Accumulate2924.85
Insurance Research Department (86) 21 51699400-110research@phillip.com.cn
Media & Publishing Research Department (+ 86 21 51699400-107)research@phillip.com.cn
Wisdom Sports Group166111/07/2016Buy3.32.18
NetDragon77716/06/2016Buy28.422.9
Pharmaceutical Fan Guohe  (+ 86 21 51699400-110)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
CSPC Pharmaceutical109306/10/2017Accumulate14.4513.54
Tasly Pharmaceutical Group600535.CH24/08/2017Accumulate43.838.52
Industrial Goods Ocean Pan +852 2277 6515oceanpan@phillip.com.hk
DONGJIANG ENV89511/10/2017Buy1411.46
DONGJIANG ENV89511/08/2017Buy13.810.64
Health & Personal Care Fan Guohe  (+ 86 21 51699400-110)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
HEC Pharm155802/06/2017Buy22.2417.08
Luye Pharma218622/03/2017Buy6.34.95
New Energy Wang Yannan 86 21 51699400-107wangyannan@phillip.com.cn
HN RENEWABLES95827/02/2017Buy3.52.72
CONCORD NE18224/10/2016Buy0.60.39
Food, Beverage and Retail Research Department (86) 21 51699400-110research@phillip.com.cn
Hop Hing Group4716/10/2017Accumulate0.240.217
L`OCCITANE97322/05/2017Accumulate1715.3
Textiles & Clothing Ocean Pan +852 2277 6515oceanpan@phillip.com.hk
JNBY330613/04/2017Accumulate6.65.95
CECEP COSTIN New Materials Group222818/10/2013Buy5.64.23
Telecommunications Fan Guohe + (86) 21 51699400-110fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
Chinasoft International35409/08/2017Buy5.884.39
Chinasoft International Ltd35410/04/2017Buy5.84.61
Mainland Property John Wong +852 2277 6527johnycwong@phillip.com.hk
Shenzhen Investment60417/10/2017Accumulate4.053.66
KWG Property181314/09/2017Neutral8.48.47
Basic Materials Ocean Pan +852 2277 6515oceanpan@phillip.com.hk
Yip's Chemical40815/06/2017No Rating3.29
ND Paper268905/04/2017Accumulate9.58.35
Utilities Research Department +852 2277 6527research@phillip.com.hk
KANGDA ENV613618/10/2017Buy2.870.000
Dynagreen133026/09/2017Buy6.44.32
Properties John Wong +852 2277 6527johnycwong@phillip.com.hk
Kerry Properties68310/10/2017Buy36.733.8
Kerry Properties68309/10/2017Buy36.733.8
Software & Service Research Department (86) 21 51699400-110research@phillip.com.cn
IGG800221/11/2014Accumulate3.953.44
HC INTERNATIONAL228006/11/2014Buy14.928.8
Hotels and Entertainment John Wong (+ 852 2277 6527)johnycwong@phillip.com.hk
Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels4516/08/2017Neutral12.513.18
Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels4515/08/2017Neutral12.513.18

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