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19 Oct, 2017 (Thursday)

            
SHENZHEN INT`L(152)
Analysis:
Shenzhen International Holdings (152) updated on the progress of its Qianhai Project. The Group will receive compensation by obtaining of land sites in Qianhai under the new land use arrangements by way of land swap in equivalent values (based on value assessment as at 1 January 2015). This will facilitate the land consolidation and preparation of the five land parcels with an aggregate site area of approximately 380,000 square metres in Qianhai owned by the Group and the execution of related land contracts. While the land price in Qianhai area has increased since 1 January 2015, It is expected that considerable Land Appreciation Gain and business development income will be generated for the Group through the Qianhui Project. (I do not hold the above stock)
Strategy:
Buy-in Price: $15.50, Target Price: $17.00, Cut Loss Price: $14.70

DONGJIANG ENV(895)
Analysis:
The Dongjiang Env Company spares efforts to accelerate the expansion of newly constructed/increased hazardous waste treatment projects, coupled with rapid expansion of treatment scale. With the release of new capacity and concentration of market share to the dominant industry, it is expected that the main business of hazardous waste treatment will maintain high-speed growth. In addition, environmental facilities services and municipal business will make a significant complement to overall result. Also, the Company seizes the opportunity to launch PPP new business and focuses on expanding soil restoration, watershed management, urban pipe network and other new projects with the aim of creating new profit growth point and opening upward space for overall result. It is forecast that net profit of the Company in 2017 and 2018 will reach RMB506 million and RMB640 million, respectively; earnings per share (EPS) will be RMB0.57 and RMB0.72, respectively; the target price will be HKD14.0, with a Buy rating.
Strategy:
Buy-in Price: $12.42, Target Price: $14.00, Cut Loss Price: $11.70


Weifu (000581.CH) - The high-growth momentum of result will continue in H2

- High-speed boom of heavy truck market drives the high growth of the result in H1

- The gross margin increased by 1.2 ppts

- Steady financial structure, sufficient cash guarantee

- The high-growth momentum of result will continue in H2

Investment Thesis

Valuation

As analyzed above, we expected diluted EPS of the Company to RMB 2.3 and 2.55 for 2017/2018. And we accordingly gave the target price to 30.58, respectively 13.3/12x P/E for 2017/2018. "Buy" rating. (Closing price as at 17 Oct 2017)

High-speed boom of heavy truck market drives the high growth of the result in H1

Weifu High-Technology recorded a total revenue of RMB4,728 million in H1 2017, dramatically up by 40.45% yoy; the net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB1,326 million, up by 40.52% yoy; the net profit attributable to the parent company after deduction of non-recurring profit or loss was RMB1,208 million, up by 45.64% yoy; the net profit in H1was equivalent to 80% of that of last year. Earnings per share were RMB1.31. The figure was RMB0.94 in the same period of last year.

The Company's products like automobile fuel injection, post-processing system and engine air intake system are mainly used in and are highly related to the heavy truck market. Benefiting from the recovery of domestic infrastructure construction market and the strict implementation of the treatment policies against overloaded and out-of-limit heavy trucks, the sales volume of domestic heavy trucks has been on the increase since the middle of last year; its average monthly sales volume exceeds 50%; in H1 2017, a total of 583.7 thousand heavy trucks were sold out at home, up by 71.85% yoy.

The gross margin increased by 1.2 ppts, and the expense was under proper control

By category, the Company's core product, automobile fuel injection system, recorded a revenue of RMB2,913 million, up by 54% yoy; its automobile post-treatment business recorded a revenue of RMB1,384 million, up by 19.42% yoy; its engine air intake system recorded a revenue of RMB0.18 billion, up by about 38.5% yoy.

The gross margin of the Company was increased by 1.2 ppts to 26.1%. Wherein, the gross margins of automobile fuel injection system and engine air intake system increased by 1.2 and 2.5 ppts, respectively, and that of automobile post-treatment business decreased by 6.2 ppts due to the price rise of bulky materials, e.g., steel. Meanwhile, the Company's expense was under proper control, and the three expense ratios decreased by 2 ppts yoy.

The major affiliated companies Bosch Automotive Diesel Systems Co., Ltd. and United Automotive Electronic Systems Co., Ltd. recorded an income from investment of RMB834 million in H1, up by 40% yoy accounting for 57% of the Company's pre-tax profit.

Steady financial structure, sufficient cash guarantee

The Company's financial state kept steady continually, the asset liability ratio was only about 25%, the quick ratio was 2.6, and the cash flow was continually enhanced. At the end of H1, the on-hand cash + net bills receivable reached RMB3.1 billion, an increase of RMB 0.83 billion yoy, guaranteeing the extended development of the Company and the dividends paid to shareholders. We hope that the industrial buyout fund established by the Company in the middle of last year can yield positive results early.

The high-growth momentum of result will continue in H2

On July 1, 2017, the National V Emission Standard was formally implemented for domestic heavy trucks around the country. On January 1, 2018, it will be implemented for light trucks as well. In addition, the National VI Emission Standard formally entered its preparation stage (predicted to be implemented in 2020); the post-treatment system of commercial vehicle will enter a period of favorable policies. It is expected that both the quality and price of products of the Company will increase.

Financials

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Recommendation on 19-10-2017
RecommendationBuy
Price on Recommendation Date$ 25.210
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 30.580
Writer Info
Zhang Jing
(Research Analyst)
Tel: (+86 21 51699400-103)
Email:
zhangjing@phillip.com.cn

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Phillip Research - Hong Kong 輝立研究部 – 香港及中國
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Information Techology Research Department N/A+852 2277 6527research@phillip.com.hk
Karrie International105015/09/2017No Rating1.24
Goldpac Group331527/03/2017Buy32.4
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
Weifu 000581.CH19/10/2017Buy30.580.000
Yutong60006613/10/2017Accumulate2924.85
Insurance Research Department (86) 21 51699400-110research@phillip.com.cn
Media & Publishing Research Department (+ 86 21 51699400-107)research@phillip.com.cn
Wisdom Sports Group166111/07/2016Buy3.32.18
NetDragon77716/06/2016Buy28.422.9
Pharmaceutical Fan Guohe  (+ 86 21 51699400-110)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
CSPC Pharmaceutical109306/10/2017Accumulate14.4513.54
Tasly Pharmaceutical Group600535.CH24/08/2017Accumulate43.838.52
Industrial Goods Ocean Pan +852 2277 6515oceanpan@phillip.com.hk
DONGJIANG ENV89511/10/2017Buy1411.46
DONGJIANG ENV89511/08/2017Buy13.810.64
Health & Personal Care Fan Guohe  (+ 86 21 51699400-110)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
HEC Pharm155802/06/2017Buy22.2417.08
Luye Pharma218622/03/2017Buy6.34.95
New Energy Wang Yannan 86 21 51699400-107wangyannan@phillip.com.cn
HN RENEWABLES95827/02/2017Buy3.52.72
CONCORD NE18224/10/2016Buy0.60.39
Food, Beverage and Retail Research Department (86) 21 51699400-110research@phillip.com.cn
Hop Hing Group4716/10/2017Accumulate0.240.217
L`OCCITANE97322/05/2017Accumulate1715.3
Textiles & Clothing Ocean Pan +852 2277 6515oceanpan@phillip.com.hk
JNBY330613/04/2017Accumulate6.65.95
CECEP COSTIN New Materials Group222818/10/2013Buy5.64.23
Telecommunications Fan Guohe + (86) 21 51699400-110fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
Chinasoft International35409/08/2017Buy5.884.39
Chinasoft International Ltd35410/04/2017Buy5.84.61
Mainland Property John Wong +852 2277 6527johnycwong@phillip.com.hk
Shenzhen Investment60417/10/2017Accumulate4.053.66
KWG Property181314/09/2017Neutral8.48.47
Basic Materials Ocean Pan +852 2277 6515oceanpan@phillip.com.hk
Yip's Chemical40815/06/2017No Rating3.29
ND Paper268905/04/2017Accumulate9.58.35
Utilities Research Department +852 2277 6527research@phillip.com.hk
KANGDA ENV613618/10/2017Buy2.871.99
Dynagreen133026/09/2017Buy6.44.32
Properties John Wong +852 2277 6527johnycwong@phillip.com.hk
Kerry Properties68310/10/2017Buy36.733.8
Kerry Properties68309/10/2017Buy36.733.8
Software & Service Research Department (86) 21 51699400-110research@phillip.com.cn
IGG800221/11/2014Accumulate3.953.44
HC INTERNATIONAL228006/11/2014Buy14.928.8
Hotels and Entertainment John Wong (+ 852 2277 6527)johnycwong@phillip.com.hk
Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels4516/08/2017Neutral12.513.18
Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels4515/08/2017Neutral12.513.18

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the “Group”) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products’ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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