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8 Sep, 2021 (Wednesday)

            
YOFC(6869)
Analysis:
Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (6869) is principally engaged in the manufacturing and sales of optical fibre preforms, optical fibres, optical fibre cables and other related products and services. Since the second half of 2018, the optical fibre and cable industry has entered into a period of adjustment. Declining demand from telecommunication operators and increasing production capacity from previous expansion had an adverse impact on the demand and supply relationship of the industry, which resulted in the gradual drop of the average unit price of optical fibres and cables at home and aboard. Currently, China is accelerating the construction of the “double gigabit” telecommunication networks led by the 5G and gigabit optical networks. Regarding the overseas market, telecommunication infrastructure is becoming more important and the demand for optical fibre network construction is rising more quickly. Given that the domestic and overseas demand for the industry holds up well and rebounds, the Company is expected to achieve sustainable growth in the long run. (I do not hold the above stock)
Strategy:
Buy-in Price: $13.60, Target Price: $16.00, Cut Loss Price: $12.50


RADIANCE HLDGS(9993)
Analysis:
Radiance Holdings (9993.HK) is a reputable large property developer with national presence, regional focus and leading positions in select cities, and the group focuses on providing quality residential properties to first-time homebuyers and first-time upgraders. Company recently released the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2021. Revenue amounted to approximately RMB 16.7 billion (+44.1% YoY), while net profit was approximately RMB 20.1 billion (+92.4% YoY). The company`s strong growth is mainly due to timely expansion of its land bank. In the first half of 2021, the Group secured 17 land parcels and the planned gross floor area was approximately 2.218 million square meters, covering 11 first-tier and strong second-tier key cities, including Beijing, Chongqing, Ningbo, Zhengzhou and Quanzhou which mainly concentrated in the Yangtze River Delta, Southeastern China and Pearl River Delta regions. It provides a solid foundation for sustainable growth in the future.
Strategy:
Buy-in Price: $4.20, Target Price: $5.00, Cut Loss Price: $3.80



HASCO (600741.CH) - Continual Development of the Neutralization Strategy and Accelerated Development of New Business Layout

Investment Summary

2021H1 Results Review

According to HASCO's 2021 semi-annual report, the Company's gross revenue for the Reporting Period was RMB66.611 billion, up 24.22% yoy, achieving a net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB2.73 billion, up 108.95% yoy, and a net profit attributable to the parent company excluding non-recurring items reaching RMB2.156 billion, up 141.28% yoy. The better-than-market-expected results were mainly due to the lower base affected by COVID-19 in the same period last year and the Company's opportunity of incremental sales from premium brands and self-owned brands. Compared to the same period in 2019, the three are still down 5.6%/18.8%/23.2% respectively.

The revenue of the Company's five major business sectors, interior and exterior trim parts/metal moulding and moulds/functional parts/electrical and electronic parts/thermal processing parts, increased by 24.8%/29.68%/14.19%/39.29%/31.29% yoy, accounting for 70%/7.4%/18%/4.3%/0.45% of the gross revenue, respectively. In terms of net profit composition, net profit of interior and exterior trim parts/metal moulding and moulds/functional parts/electrical and electronic parts/thermal processing parts increased 72.6%/29.68%/14.19%/39.29%/31.29%, respectively compared with the same period last year, accounting for 49%/6.8%/40%/2.4%/1.2%. Interior and exterior trim parts and functional parts are still the main source of the Company's profit.

YoY Increase of Gross Margin

The integrated gross margin in 2021H1 was 14.59%, compared with 13.28%/14.68% in the same period of 2020/2019, respectively. Excluding the pandemic influence last year, the Company's gross margin in H1 basically recovered to the level of the same period of 2019. By quarter, Q1/Q2 gross margin was 14.9%/14.26%, respectively, with a slight decline in Q2 qoq mainly due to chip supply tensions and raw material price increases. Net profit margin was 5.14%, an increase of 2.06 pct yoy, but was down 1.06 ppts from the same period in 2019. The Company's main customer SAIC Motor has been affected by the slowdown in the growth of fuel vehicles in recent years, while the electrification layout lagged behind, and sales volume was under pressure, causing a drag on the profitability of the Company's parts business. In order to understand the future trend of change in the automotive industry, the Company focused on the improvement of its R&D capability and continued to increase its R&D investment. The R&D expense ratio in H1 was 4.41%, an increase of 0.31 ppts yoy and 0.83 ppts compared with the same period in 2019..

Continual Development of the Neutralization Strategy and Accelerated Development of New Business Layout

The neutralization strategy aimed at reducing customer concentration will continue to advance. The Company's automotive interior trim, seats, airbags, front and rear subframes and other businesses have been part of the supporting orders for luxury brands such as Mercedes-Benz, BMW and Audi, as well as the new generation of relevant models of independent brands such as Great Wall Motors, Geely and BYD. The business of automotive interior trim parts, seats, lighting, tailgate, etc. has been partially supplied to Tesla, Nio, Xpeng and other new energy automobile brands. In 2021H1, the non-SAIC Motor revenue share of the Company's revenue increased from 46.1% in 2020 to 48% in 2021H1.

With the continuous development of the global automotive industry such as electrification and intelligent network connection, the Company is also accelerating its development in the emerging business. In the field of smart cockpit, the subsidiary Yanfeng has completed the development and matching of smart cockpit controller based on the high-performance computing for many types of mainstream operating systems, which will be provided for SAIC's own models. Some smart cockpit components have been provided for SAIC's car companies, Geely and Tesla. In the field of intelligent driving, the self-developed 4D imaging millimetre wave radar is scheduled for mass production in the fourth quarter of this year. The 77GHz forward millimetre wave radar has made a breakthrough in some projects, and the DLP digital headlights of Huayu Vision have been mass produced. In terms of intelligent power, the Company's semi-annual report disclosed the sales volume of new energy products for the first time. HASCO continues to improve the process of drive motor flat wire and round wire to ensure the supply of pure electric vehicle platform drive motors for SAIC passenger cars and Volkswagen MEB. The Company sold 97.9 thousand sets of drive motors and 30 thousand sets of drive systems in H1.Overall, the Company aims to continue to achieve its annual revenue target of RMB142 billion by expanding its premium customer markets and overseas markets and accelerating product mix restructuring and technological innovation..

Investment Thesis

We expect the Company to continue to achieve a solid recovery by optimizing its customer structure and expanding its product layout. As analyzed above, we gave EPS expectation of the Company to RMB 2.06/2.42/2.78 of 2021/2022/2023. And we accordingly gave the target price to 27.5, respectively 13.4/11.3/9.9x P/E and 1.54/1.42/1.32x P/B for 2021/2022/2023. "Accumulate" rating. (Closing price as at 6 September)

Financials

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Recommendation on 8-9-2021
RecommendationAccumulate
Price on Recommendation Date$ 23.040
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 27.500
Writer Info
Zhang Jing
(Research Analyst)
Tel: (+86 21 51699400-103)
Email:
zhangjing@phillip.com.cn

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