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25 Jul, 2024 (Thursday)



China Datang Corporation Renewable Power(1798)
Analysis:
According to the International Energy Agency's (IEA) "Electricity Mid-Year Update" report released on Friday, global electricity demand is growing at the fastest rate in nearly 20 years. The IEA predicts that global electricity demand will increase by 4% in 2024, reaching the highest level since 2007 (excluding the abnormal rebound after the 2010 global financial crisis and the demand collapse triggered by the 2021 COVID-19 pandemic). The robust growth in global electricity demand is expected to continue into 2025, with a growth rate of around 4%. The surge in global electricity demand is attributed to factors such as warmer weather and strong economic growth, particularly in China, India, and the United States. Due to strong activities in the service industry and various industrial sectors including clean energy manufacturing, China's electricity demand growth rate this year is also expected to exceed 6%. China Datang Corporation Renewable Power is one of the earliest domestic power companies engaged in new energy development. The company recently announced that, based on preliminary statistics, in June 2024, the group completed a power generation of 2,268,570 megawatt-hours on a consolidated basis, representing an 8.89% year-on-year increase compared to 2023. Among this, wind power generation amounted to 1,946,975 megawatt-hours, a 4.87% increase compared to 2023, while solar power generation reached 321,595 megawatt-hours, marking a significant 41.78% year-on-year increase.
Strategy:
Buy-in Price: $2.14, Target Price: $2.37, Cut Loss Price: $1.95



Report Review of June 2024

Sectors:

TMT, Semiconductors, Consumer & Healthcare (Eric Li)

TMT, Semiconductors, Consumer, Healthcare (Eric Li)

This month I released reports of Hengan (1044.HK).

For the year ended 31 December 2023 (FY2023), Hengan's revenue increased by 5.1% to RMB23,768mn, above market expectation. During the year, operating profit increased significantly by 38.6% to RMB3,978mn (FY2022: RMB2,869mn). Although the depreciation of the Renminbi against the US dollar and the HK dollar during the year resulted in an operating foreign exchange loss after tax of RMB150mn, the loss was significantly reduced by about 83.6% compared with the operating FX loss before tax of RMB901mn in 2022. Therefore, profit attributable to shareholders of the Company was RMB2,801mn (FY2022: RMB1,925mn), representing a significant yoy increase of 45.5%. Excluding the operating FX loss after tax, profit attributable to shareholders of the Company increased by 4.3% yoy, mainly reflecting the improvement in the company's gross profit margin as a result of the decline in the cost of wood pulp and upgrades of products. Basic EPS was RMB2.415 (FY2022: RMB1.657), with full-year dividend RMB1.40 per share, unchanged yoy.

During the year under review, raw material prices dropped in the second half of the year, leading to intensified market promotions and price competition. The decline in the price of wood pulp, the main raw material for tissue paper, in the second half of the year compared to the first half of the year, coupled with the robust growth in the company's upgraded products and premium product series resulted in a significant improvement in the gross profit of the tissue paper business. FY2023, the company's overall gross profit increased by 4.2% to RMB8,011mn (FY2022:RMB7,689mn). Although the gross profit margin was under pressure in the 1HFY2023, the overall gross profit margin for the full year still recorded at 33.7% (FY2022: 34.0%), almost consistent with last year. Gross profit the 2HFY2023 even significantly improved to 36.5% (2HFY2022: 32.8%). It is expected that in 2024, premium high margin products will continue to experience significant growth, leading to a continuous improvement in the gross profit margin.

Despite a challenging operating environment, Hengan leverages its strong comprehensive competitive advantages and effective profit-focused sales strategies to continue expanding its market share and further solidify its robust business resilience. The company's three core business segments—tissue paper, sanitary napkins, and diapers—have maintained steady growth in revenue over the past two years. The decline in raw material prices in the second half of last year intensified industry marketing and price competition. However, the company prudently allocated promotional resources and continued to record significant growth in high-end, high-margin products. Gross profit margins are expected to remain stable. Hengan maintains a healthy financial condition with a significant improvement in its debt ratio to 69.8%, placing it in a net cash position.

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