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29 Nov, 2024 (Friday)



JACK(603337)
Analysis:
The Company is a leading enterprise in industrial sewing machinery, with a global market share of about 20%. It is the largest and most comprehensive enterprise in the global sewing equipment industry in terms of production and sales scale. The intelligent hanging system, intelligent sewing machine, intelligent fabric inspection machine, ultra-high precision cutting bed S80, intelligent hanging sorting system developed by the company have significantly improved production efficiency compared to traditional equipment. It is expected that with the rise of labor costs, the future trend of intelligence in the clothing manufacturing industry will be inevitable. According to research by Ruilue, the global industrial sewing machine market size will reach 40.627 billion yuan in 2028. The Company still has ample room for improvement. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached RMB 619 million in the first 9 months of 2024, up 50.2% yoy.
Strategy:
Buy-in Price: RMB28.00, Target Price: RMB34.00, Cut Loss Price: RMB25.00



JOYSON Electronics (600699.CH) - Ongoing R&D Innovation around Intelligent Electric Reform of Vehicles

Company Profile

Joyson Electronics stands as a leading global supplier in the fields of automotive electronics and safety. It offers one-stop solutions across critical technologies for intelligent electric vehicles to automotive OEMs around the world. The Company mainly engages in automotive electronics and automotive safety. In the former segment, it focuses on intelligent cockpit systems, intelligent network connection, intelligent driving and new energy management. In the latter segment, it focuses on seatbelts, airbags, intelligent steering wheels and integrated safety solutions.

Investment Summary

Strong Revenue Performance

According to the 2024 Q3 report released by Joyson Electronics, the Company recorded operating revenue of RMB41,135 million, down 0.42% yoy, net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB941 million, up 20.90% yoy, and net profit attributable to the parent company excluding non-recurring items of RMB941 million, up 40.25% yoy, in the first three quarters of 2024, and operating revenue of RMB14,056 million, down 1.68% yoy and up 1.85% qoq, net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB305 million, up 0.50% yoy and down 7.73% qoq, and net profit attributable to the parent company excluding non-recurring items of RMB305 million, up 10.09% yoy and down 7.46% qoq, in 2024 Q3. Comparatively, global light vehicle output declined by 4.8% yoy in 2024 Q3 and the cumulative output declined by 1.8% yoy in the first three quarters, according to S&P Global's disclosure in October 2024.

Remarkable Results was Achieved in Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvement, with Continued Optimization of Cost

In the first three quarters of 2024, Joyson Electronics's overall gross margin steadily grew by 1.6 ppts yoy to approximately 15.6%. In Q3 in particular, the gross margin stood at 15.74%, reflecting a yoy increase of 0.81 ppts and a qoq increase of 0.24 ppts, respectively, and the net profit margin at 3.03%, marking a yoy increase of 0.42 ppts and a qoq decrease of 0.28 ppts, respectively, underscoring continued improvement of the profitability of the Company's principal business. By business segment, the Company's automotive safety business reaped a revenue of RMB28.4 billion, with a gross margin of 14.0%, up 2.6 ppts yoy, in the first three quarters. Ongoing enhancements in business operations in Europe and the Americas drove the performance of automotive safety business to boost on a qoq basis for consecutive quarters. All four major business regions of the Company began to generate profits, contributing significantly to its performance growth. In the first three quarters, the Company's automotive electronics business generated operating revenue of RMB12.7 billion, with a gross margin of 19.2%, remaining relatively stable.

In 2020, the Company has won more than RMB59.6 billion worth of new orders for To guarantee long-lasting competitiveness in emerging business sectors and sustained conversion of new business orders into future operating revenue, the Company maintained a steady level of investment in R&D, which slightly affected the net profit in Q3, along with the increase in income tax expense arising from the continued recovery of the profitability of the Company's overseas operations. In 2024 Q3, the Company's period expense ratio was 11.33%, marking a yoy decrease of 0.75 ppts and a qoq increase of 0.80 ppts. Specifically, the sales expense ratio was 0.93%, up 0.03 ppts yoy, the management expense ratio was 4.31%, down 0.93 ppts yoy, the R&D expense ratio was 4.57%, up 0.23 ppts yoy, and the finance expense ratio was 1.51%, down 0.09 ppts yoy.

Orders of New Business Surged and Domestic Share Increased

Joyson Electronics intensified efforts to increase its share in the Chinese market, focusing particularly on leading domestic self-owned brands and new forces of vehicle manufacturing. In the first three quarters of 2024, the Company gained new orders worldwide amounting to approximately RMB70.4 billion cumulatively, up 19.3% yoy. New orders for new energy models, amounting to approximately RMB37.6 billion, up 7.4% yoy, accounted for 53.4% of all new orders. From the business segment perspective, new orders in the automotive safety segment reached approximately RMB49.1 billion, a yoy increase of 44.4%, and new orders in the automotive electronics segment reached approximately RMB21.4 billion, a yoy decrease of 14.4%. From a regional perspective, the Company continued to strengthen its position in the Chinese market and its cooperation with self-owned brands and emerging vehicle manufacturers. New orders from China amounted to approximately RMB31 billion, up 24% yoy, accounting for around 44% of the Company's total orders from China, a yoy increase of 2 ppts. Notably, the proportion of orders from leading self-owned brands and emerging vehicle manufacturers saw consistent growth, demonstrated by the full coverage of top 10 new energy vehicle brands/manufacturers on the sales leaderboard in the automotive safety business segment.

Ongoing R&D Innovation around Intelligent Electric Reform of Vehicles

The Company promptly seized the opportunities brought by the rapid development of intelligent electric vehicles, and deepened business layout and increased R&D input in intelligent electric vehicles, with enrichment of business categories. In the first three quarters, the Company explored emerging business, such as the UWB technology solution (consisting of the digital key and the in-cabin life detection radar), the ADAS L2 Smart Camera (front view all-in-one) solution and the vehicle-road-cloud integrated system, in the fields of intelligent driving, intelligent cockpit/network connection systems and body area intelligence. As the Company continues to increase R&D input and actively expands business categories, its competitiveness in emerging business is expected to enhance on an ongoing basis.

Investment Thesis

As a global leader in automotive safety and electronics, the Company has maintained sound development while actively capitalizing on the opportunities brought by rapid development in the intelligent electric vehicle sector. In this regard, its orders on hand will continue to grow, underscoring a promising outlook for its future growth.

We expect Joyson's EPS for 2024/2025/2026 to be 0.94/1.11/1.5 yuan. We revised the target price of RMB 20 equivalent to 21.3/18/13.3x E P/E and assign Buy ratings. (Closing price as at 26 November)

Risk

Operating collision in Joyson's M&A

Worse-than-expected downstream demand

Financials

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Recommendation on 29-11-2024
RecommendationBUY
Price on Recommendation Date$ 15.560
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 20.000
Writer Info
Zhang Jing
(Research Analyst)
Tel: (+86 21 51699400-103)
Email:
zhangjing@phillip.com.cn

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